Thursday, February 16, 2006
Place Your Bets!
Republican Senate Primary Odds
Pete Ricketts 2:1
David Kramer 4:1
Don Stenberg 7:1
Reasoning:
Pete Ricketts:
It’s all about the cashe (hipply pronounced “kay-sh”), baby. The guy’s got more TV face time than John Knicely (though slightly less than Jon Bruning). His campaign understands the power of carpet bombing your living room with commercials. Pete also has a touch of charm and charisma, which, shockingly, one CANNOT purchase. He’s a force to be reckoned with. Pancake flips and parades and rubber chicken dinners are all fine. But the mass public needs to see you on TV to know you. And in that vein, he’s getting the job D-U-N.
David Kramer:
In an early odds-making upset, Kramer takes the lead from Stenberg. What has Donny done to deserve this? See below.
So where does that leave us with the newly svelte Kramer? Being the GOP chair will mean that people are vaguely familiar with him, and that’s at least a third of the battle. But he’ll need some serious free-media to give his campaign the jump. Waiting for that to happen means waiting to lose. What will Big Dave need to do? Go NEGATIVE. He’ll need to find a solid issue to attack Ricketts on, without it coming back to hit him. Can he do it? If so, he could be a formidable challenge to Nelson.
Don Stenberg:
Don has a been-there-done-that-bought-the-T-shirt quality about his campaign that excites no one. His message? “You know me.” Yes, we know that you’re as enticing as the State High School Curling Tournament while being locked out of the Booze Suites. And you’re just a little too PRO-give-the-President-all-the-power-he-wants in a climate where even pro-Bush people want to see a few more i’s dotted and t’s crossed. If somehow Ricketts and Kramer implode, Don-o would get pummeled by Nelson like a narc at a biker rally.
This is the first in a series of ODDS for the various races in Nebraska this year.
You are encouraged to submit your reasoning why you think these odds should be changed. Unless you are a Gubernatorial Candidate. In which case, you should denounce this column as a precursor to bankruptcy and fornication.
Note: This is for amusement purposes only and should not be taken as an endorsement of illegal gambling or a come-on to Janet Jones-Gretsky.
Coming MONDAY
Governor’s Race ODDS!
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